Dragaera

The Great Debate....to DDB

Richard Suitor rsuitor at cjwrfs.net
Sat Nov 30 14:54:05 PST 2002

On Sat, 30 Nov 2002 14:09:31 -0800, Damien Sullivan
<phoenix at ugcs.caltech.edu> wrote:

>You can challenge Hawking about black holes or Dawkins about evolution and get
>an argument.  You can't challenge the Pope about some fact about Mary; he'll
>just say it's a revealed truth.

But there aren't all that many people who can follow the argument,
particularly Hawking's :<).

That doesn't mean the difference in the two types of responses doesn't
exist - it does mean that those who can follow the argument, or can follow
it well enough and have enough other experience to trust those who can
follow it have to realize that obtaining knowledge can be quite different
for other people.

And that is not due to some sort of mental disorder, and not necessarily
due to mental laziness (I admit it is in a distressing number of cases).

It does mean you can't put forth an argument and expect its obvious inner
beauty to automatically win the day - even in this august company.

As someone has pointed out, a correct scientific statement should be
capable of being proven wrong.  The way we make progress is proving stuff
wrong and seeing what survives.

The trouble is, that too many of them *have* been proven wrong when they
were advanced with insufficient backing to begin with.  That is of course
the fault of people - but whose fault it is is immaterial.  The result is
that to the lay person it is harder to tell which is which.

Whenever something controversial arises - e.g. global warming, smoking,
asbestos - it is usually possible to generate scientific reports and
studies that at least call expensive solutions into question.  None of this
helps public confidence.

Of course their cars run pretty well - so do their refrigerators and TVs -
but as is being mentioned in another branch there can be a lot of
uncertainty about what *health* means, particularly mental health.

Nonetheless, I don't think we want to shut down our hospitals and clinics
until we are absolutely sure.  Particularly since I personally believe that
part of the definition for a long time to come will include what I mean by
religion - something for which there is no scientific basis, but for which
we have to choose to proceed with life.  Many who participate in this
choice will do so on the basis of religious principles, religious in the
more normal use of the word.

Richard