Dragaera

Defender always wins? (Was: Re: on contradictions and s

Fri Feb 11 10:10:33 PST 2005

On Fri, Feb 11, 2005 at 09:33:28AM -0800, Chris Olson - SunPS <Chrisf.Olson at Sun.COM> wrote:
> John D. Barbato, wrote:
> > I like the idea of nuclear weapons when we are the only ones to have them.
> Heh.  Every other country feels the same way, I'm
> sure.  As long as *you're* the only one with a
> gun (sword, WMD, etc.) you're going to feel fine.
> 
> I can see two viable options: give everyone one (and
> wouldn't it be great to have your own nuclear weapon?;)
> or get rid of them all.

This is the doctrine of moral equivilence, and it is invalid.  
There are objective differences between nations that indicate how 
trustworthy they are with nuclear weaponry.  Eliminating all 
nuclear weapons is not possible (since we would retain the 
knowledge to produce more).  Giving every nation-state a nuclear 
weapon would result in annihilation, since inevitably those 
weapons would be used.  

The only possible strategy is to minimize the number of discrete 
actors who possess nuclear weapons, and to explicitly act against 
those who seek to obtain them.  Those who obtain them in secret 
need to face an evaluation process once the weapon is revealed: 
can they be trusted not to use the weapon?  What are the costs 
and risks involved in destroying the weapon along with any 
additional manufacturing capability, and enforcing that with 
regime change if necessary?  

> As a member of the one country which has used nuclear
> weapons on another, I don't trust us or anyone who has
> them.  

We've learned from that, and we've proven for 60 years that we 
can be trusted.  The Soviet Union proved that they could be 
trusted, surprising as that seems (and as close as it came at 
some times), for nearly as long.  

The genie can't go back into the bottle.  Inevitably, the 
knowledge and capability will spread.  Our only hope is to slow 
that spread.  If we give in to nuclear blackmail by 
nation-states, we only encourage others to play that game.  

-- 
Matthew Hunter (matthew at infodancer.org)
Public Key: http://matthew.infodancer.org/public_key.txt
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