Dragaera

Jhereg-Dragon War #1

Gaertk at aol.com Gaertk at aol.com
Tue Oct 8 15:25:13 PDT 2002

In a message dated 10/8/2002 3:50:12 PM Eastern Standard 
Time, "Ruhlen, Rachel Louise (UMC-Student)"
<RuhlenR at missouri.edu> writes:

> Here's what I've found:
> He says it occurred nearly a full cycle before the 
> Interregnum, about 10,000 years, 
[...]
> 10,000 years is an awfully short time for a full cycle. 
> The shortest reign is 17*17, or 289 years [...]  The 
> longest is 17*17*17, 4913, for an average of 2601.  The 
> shortest possible *cycle* is 4913 (17 Houses, 289 years
> each).  An average cycle is 44,217. 

The average isn't neccessarily the median.  And Vlad's just
giving a very rough estimate, so getting within an order of
magnitude is good enough.  Note that in the passage where he
discusses the min/max reigns, he's way off for the max.

--KG